PREMIUM
**80% LAST SUNDAY!** VERY EARLY ULTIMATE TOTAL (16-6/73% ALL NFL L5 SUNDAY'S!)
(NFL) Baltimore vs. Green Bay,
11/19/2017 8:00 AM, Score: 23 - 0
Total: 38.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 38.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
This is an 8* ULTIMATE TOTAL on the UNDER between the Baltimore Ravens and the Green Bay Packers.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Baltimore has seen the total go UNDER the number the last two seasons coming out of its bye week and in three of its last four as a road fav of three points or less, while Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of its last 22 in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: Playing at Lambeau Field is always difficult, but doubly so in November, December and January. The Ravens come out of their bye needing to almost run the table to make the postseason. Green Bay's hopes were kept alive in last week's 23-16 grind it out victory over at the Bears. With Aaron Rodgers gone, expect a similar game-plan of controlling the game and limiting Brett Hundley's responsibilities. Baltimore's pass game has been a mess all year because of injury and will also be looking to run first. All signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Baltimore has seen the total go UNDER the number the last two seasons coming out of its bye week and in three of its last four as a road fav of three points or less, while Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of its last 22 in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: Playing at Lambeau Field is always difficult, but doubly so in November, December and January. The Ravens come out of their bye needing to almost run the table to make the postseason. Green Bay's hopes were kept alive in last week's 23-16 grind it out victory over at the Bears. With Aaron Rodgers gone, expect a similar game-plan of controlling the game and limiting Brett Hundley's responsibilities. Baltimore's pass game has been a mess all year because of injury and will also be looking to run first. All signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
