Stephen Nover's NBA Over/Under Destroyer
(NBA) Miami vs. Charlotte, 04/29/2016 11:33 AM, Score: 97 - 90
Total: 190.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
The last three games in this series have all gone under. Miami hasn't broken 90 points during these past three games. The result is the lowest opening total of the series - down some nine points from the closing Game 1 total.

It's time for a bounce back. I see it happening here in this Game 6 do-or-die spot for the Heat.

Miami averaged 119 points while shooting 57.8 percent from the field during the first two games of the series. That definitely was too high. A correction was bound to happen - and it did with Miami averaging 84.3 points and 38.6 shooting during the next three games. Those scoring and shooting marks are definitely too low. It's time for another correction.

So I see the Heat putting up a scoring mark somewhere in the middle from their first two games compared to their past three games. Miami coach Erik Spoelstra wants his team to play loose and free flowing. The Heat have played tight with their frustrations spilling out. Miami averaged 100 points during the regular season. The Heat have too many pros and good shooters to be kept under 90 points for a fourth straight game.

Charlotte should put up a good number of points, too, with Nicolas Batum having played 25 minutes in Game 5 after returning from an ankle injury. The Hornets were the No. 11 scoring team in the NBA averaging 103.4 points. The Hornets ranked fifth in free throw percentage and have shot even better from the free throw line during the series.