PREMIUM
Rogers' NCAAF ATTACK DOG >> 9-4 Since Tuesday!
(NCAAF) New Mexico State vs. Texas A&M,
10/29/2016 3:30 PM, Score: 10 - 52
Point Spread: 44.00 | -110.00 New Mexico State (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 44.00 | -110.00 New Mexico State (Away)
Result: Win
The set-up: A&M trailed Alabama 13-0 but early in the third quarter, took a 14-13 lead. However, before long, the Tide were putting the finishing touches on a 33-14 victory. Those things happen when one plays Alabama, especially in Tuscaloosa. The loss to the Crimson Tide doesn't completely eliminate the Aggies (6-1, 4-1 SEC) from the West Division race but it does leave them in position of needing help (maybe too much help?). There will be no "scoreboard watching" this Saturday, as Alabama has a bye and the Aggies return home to College Station to take on the over-matched Aggies of New Mexico State, a 2-5 team playing out of the Sun Belt, which is coming off a 22-19 setback at home to Georgia Southern.
New Mexico State: These Aggies own a senior QB in Tyler Rogers and he's thrown for right around 285 YPG but completes only 55.6% with 11 TDs and almost as many INTs (10). Senior RB Larry Rose III missed the first three games of the season while recovering from a sports hernia but has rushed for 281 yards in four games since his return (he rushed for almost 1,700 yards last season with 14 TDs). New Mexico State ranks amongst the worst defensive teams in the nation, allowing 41.6 PPG (125th) on 504.6 YPG (124th).
Texas A&M: The loss to Alabama didn't hurt A&M much in the polls (fell from No. 6 to No. 9 in the AP) but a game like this means little to the team's ranking and nothing its standing in the SEC-West. A&M was dominated on both the OL and DL lines vs. Alabama, rushing for a modest 114 yards while allowing 287 rushing yards, which came right after surrendering 282 on the ground in the previous game (a double-overtime victory over Tennessee). QB Trevor Knight completed a season-low 45.2 percent of his passes and rushed for a season-low 24 yard against the Tide, while RB Trayveon Williams, who ran for 217 yards against Tennessee, was only able to scratch his way for 23 yards on nine carries. Texas A&M had not allowed an opponent more than 24 points but has now surrendered 30-plus in back-to-back games.
The pick: Obviously, the Aggies of New Mexico State are not in the class of the Aggies from Texas A&M, as evidenced by the fact that the last time New Mexico State met an SEC opponent, it lost 62-42 at Kentucky (Sept. 17). Kentucky is a mediocre SEC team while A&M is ranked in the nation's top-10 but where's the motivation for A&M to roll up the score too much in this one? Kevin Sumlin can be expected to get a lot of younger guys some "PT" in this one and I'm taking the YUGE points (more than six TDs?) and making New Mexico State an 8* play.
New Mexico State: These Aggies own a senior QB in Tyler Rogers and he's thrown for right around 285 YPG but completes only 55.6% with 11 TDs and almost as many INTs (10). Senior RB Larry Rose III missed the first three games of the season while recovering from a sports hernia but has rushed for 281 yards in four games since his return (he rushed for almost 1,700 yards last season with 14 TDs). New Mexico State ranks amongst the worst defensive teams in the nation, allowing 41.6 PPG (125th) on 504.6 YPG (124th).
Texas A&M: The loss to Alabama didn't hurt A&M much in the polls (fell from No. 6 to No. 9 in the AP) but a game like this means little to the team's ranking and nothing its standing in the SEC-West. A&M was dominated on both the OL and DL lines vs. Alabama, rushing for a modest 114 yards while allowing 287 rushing yards, which came right after surrendering 282 on the ground in the previous game (a double-overtime victory over Tennessee). QB Trevor Knight completed a season-low 45.2 percent of his passes and rushed for a season-low 24 yard against the Tide, while RB Trayveon Williams, who ran for 217 yards against Tennessee, was only able to scratch his way for 23 yards on nine carries. Texas A&M had not allowed an opponent more than 24 points but has now surrendered 30-plus in back-to-back games.
The pick: Obviously, the Aggies of New Mexico State are not in the class of the Aggies from Texas A&M, as evidenced by the fact that the last time New Mexico State met an SEC opponent, it lost 62-42 at Kentucky (Sept. 17). Kentucky is a mediocre SEC team while A&M is ranked in the nation's top-10 but where's the motivation for A&M to roll up the score too much in this one? Kevin Sumlin can be expected to get a lot of younger guys some "PT" in this one and I'm taking the YUGE points (more than six TDs?) and making New Mexico State an 8* play.
