The Seattle Mariners earned a 4-3 win in Tuesday night's matchup thanks to a two-run homer from Kyle Seager in the eighth inning. Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings, and I think we have a solid case for another low-scoring affair here on Wednesday.

Seattle southpaw Marco Gonzales (14-11, 4.37 ERA) has been lit up in back-to-back starts, but both were on the road. Gonzalez limited the Blue Jays to one run on three hits over seven innings of a 3-1 win his last time out at T-Mobile Park, and he has held opponents to two or fewer runs in each of his last four home starts.

The Reds counter with right-hander Sonny Gray (10-6, 2.75 ERA) has had a great second half of the season, and he has held opponents to one or fewer runs in six of his last seven starts, with four of those outings being of the scoreless variety.

Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.

I also think we're getting a good enough price to back the Reds as a road favorite.

8* play on Cincinnati Reds.