Upgraded because of a big outsourced bet corroboration with our AI. This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.

KC has a league-best 13-1 record, while Houston is 9-5. Home field advantage is worth three-points, yet Houston is only getting three. When a spread is much lower than the SU records imply, use the oddsmakers knowledge against them as such dogs are 283-181-15. Of course, the status of Patrick Mahomes is the biggest factor in the point spread, but that is often the explanation for such lines and history says the oddsmakers do not adjust enough. A similar angle is 542-412.