Freeplays MLB
(MLB) Miami vs. Kansas City,
Money Line: -133.00 Kansas City (Home)
Result: Loss
Only the year changes for gamblers. Joe Duffy's Picks just keeps winning and a 4-0 sweep is in store with the premium package tonight. But first, here is a free pick winner on Kansas City and Chen (-133) to Miami Marlins with Fernandez. Although this game is about $.09 above our threshold for a premium bet, it is certainly a strong free play. The home team is 16-7 in Jose Fernandez' starts including 9-1 the last 10. Fernandez has compelling splits such as on the road, where he's 3-5 with a 3.94 ERA in 11 starts compared to 5-0 with a 1.39 ERA in 11 at home. Florida has lost seven straight with him on the road to teams with a winning record.

Bruce Chen has been almost unhittable in his five starts with an ERA and WHIP of 1.14 and 0.632. KC has won the last four his outings. Miami is 1-8 the last nine. KC is 17-3 the last 20. Go with home favorites of 125-175 with a bullpen ERA if 3.33 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits per start is 424-225, +98.2 units including 40-22 this season.

Miami is 18-41 on the road batting average and OBP of .228 and .273. Their last seven games overall it's a horrid .213 and .255. KC's last seven on the other hand is .306 and .356. In the last five games, KC has a slugging percentage of .494 to just .270 for Miami. The batting average is .310 to .180! The last 10 games KC has a slugging percentage upper hand by .459 to .301.

The winner is Kansas City from Joe Duffy's Picks.

There is no such thing as a sure thing, but when Joe Duffy's Picks had the first lousy day in five weeks on Sunday, you know Monday we would rebound. That we did with underdog Minnesota shutting out KC. We are now 61-41 in MLB underdog moneyline winners outnumbering the moneyline chalk losers 38-11.

Get the American League Game of the Month among two Wise Guy plays and two Majors. Which big underdog has a slugging percentage edge of .106 In their last 10 games over their opponent? Which team has a .231 has a slugging percentage edge last five games? Which pitcher follows up a good start with a team loss very often? Which team is a stunning +26.8 units under the circumstances of tonight? Oh there is so much more that applies to the 4-0 sweep. A winning day is guaranteed.