Go with away dogs with a winning record of under .500 against a team with a record that's over .500 if the home side has covered the line in at least its last game and the dog has not and the home team plays its next game at home is 198-141.

The Ewing Theory, which says once a team loses their overrated star, they become a good betting value in many circumstances, applies here as the Lakers rid of grossly overrated Dwight Howard.