When a home team is coming off a win of 35 points or more it is a stunning 721-562-26 against the spread. When the win was by 37 or more, the winning percentage goes up, though units won a bit less because of fewer games at 612-459-24.

FSU will rally around Jameis Winston. It is more important than ever for him to had a 500-yard game to end the distraction.

Sure Syracuse has a strong running game. But keep-away will not work, that is assuming the Orange want to win straight up they will have to pass. In seven games against teams from automatic-qualifier conferences, Orange quarterbacks have contributed just two touchdowns and 15 interceptions. Ouch. They can beat Wake Forest and Maryland going one-dimension, but not FSU.