Tom Brady is 9-4 straight up to Peyton Manning. The kickoff temperature is expected to be in the lower 20s. Since 2001, underdog Tom Brady is 23-5 straight up when the game-time temperature is 32 degrees or lower, with 48 TD and 21 INTs. Chalk Peyton Manning is 5-8 straight up with 16 TD, 14 INTs.

Since Rob Gronkowski returned, the Patriots have looked a little more like the efficient unit Brady is accustomed to running. Brady went from a QBR without Gronk of 52.7 to 65.9 with him.