A,J. Burnett has overachieved, but now he is in a big bubble-burst off his first horrid outing and will regress to the mean. He was drilled for seven runs, six earned in just 6 IP last trip to the bump.

The Halos are 4-1 the last five. The Phillies are 2-6 the last eight. LA is +4.8 units on the road, while Philly is -5.2 at home. In seven starts Garrett Richards ERA and WHIP of 2.80 and 1.111. He is even better on the road with a 4-1 team mark ERA and WHIP of 1.69 and 0.906. He struck out 46 over his first seven starts spanning 45 innings, and his .186 opponent batting average is the fourth-best mark in baseball. Richards is 1-0 with 1.75 ERA in four interleague starts dating to 2012. LA has beaten Burnett three straight.

Last five games LA Angels has a slugging percentage edge of .455 to .385. The Angels are 9-2 in their last 11 interleague games. Phillies are 9-25 in their last 34 interleague games. Cal has won six straight in the series including the last four in the City of Brotherly Love.