The Cubs have lost three straight scoring a combined five runs batting .168 while going 0 for 16 with runners in scoring position. The Reds are 9-3 the last 12. Go against a starting pitcher who allows .5 or fewer homeruns per start after a game in which the bullpen gave up five or more runs is 944-849, +108 units including a rock solid +7.4 units this year.

The Reds are 4-1 with Homer Bailey last five as his ERA and WHIP of 3.55 and 1.21 in that span. He is is 7-0 with a 3.08 ERA over his last 10 starts in the series, and that includes a 2.23 ERA and 5-0 record in six games at Wrigley Field. The Reds are 10-0 with him to the Cubbies. They are 47-19 with Bailey to teams with a losing record.

The Reds are an absurd 20-4 at Wrigley and 30-11 the last three years overall in the head-to-head, 51-20 going back further.. Their last seven games Cincinnati batting average and OBP of .282 and .344. In their last 10 games the Reds has a slugging percentage edge of .462 to .388.

Cubs are 34-74 in their last 108 games vs. a right-handed starter.