While we would probably rather opt for the draw price (if available) or maybe Slovenia on the spread +0.5 goals (again if available), this price on an outright Slovenia win looks very tempting, too. The Slovenians were well worth their 1-1 opening draw vs. Denmark, mostly dominating the last half-hour, with Erik Janza's goal in the 77th minute bringing Slovenia level. Serbia is receiving a lot of plaudits for a determined effort vs. England, but the Serbs are mainly a rough-and-tumble side bent on physicality. What they don't have is a keeper like Jan Oblak, Slovenia's Atletico Madrid stalwart who could well make the difference in Munich. Play Slovenia Win