ASA Free Play Saturday CFB
(NCAAF) Michigan vs. Nebraska, 10/09/2021 7:30 PM, Score: 32 - 29
Point Spread: 3.00 | -110.00 Nebraska (Home)
Result: Push
#382 ASA FREE PLAY ON Nebraska +3 over Michigan, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET - The Huskers are quietly flying under the radar right now but this team is playing really well. As well a they have since HC Scott Frost took over back in 2018. Since losing @ Illinois to open the season, the Huskers are 3-2 but that doesn’t tell the entire story. Those 2 losses came @ Oklahoma who is undefeated and @ Michigan State who is also undefeated. They outgained the Sooners on a YPP basis in their 23-16 loss and destroyed MSU in the stat sheet (+14 first downs / +186 total yards / +15 minute time of possession) in that 3 point overtime loss. Those games were on the road and now they get a chance to host a prime time opponent at home. They tuned up nicely last week rolling Northwestern 56-7 outgaining the Cats by 364 total yards. Michigan beat up on some weaker teams at home to start the season but the last few games, while they’ve come out on top, haven’t been nearly as impressive. Two weeks ago they were outplayed at home by Rutgers and lucky to get a tight win (Rutgers was +77 total yards and held Michigan to 2.9 yards per carry). Last week it was a close game in Madison at halftime with Michigan leading Wisconsin 13-10. The Badgers lost starting QB Mertz a few plays into the 2nd half and the wheels came off helping Michigan to a 38-17 win. The Wolverines only averaged 2.5 YPC vs Wisconsin last week. So after averaging over 7 YPC in their first 3 games, they finally faced a few very solid defenses and were held to 2.7 YPC. That’s not great for a team that rarely passes (just 59 completed passes in 5 games this season). The Huskers defense is playing at their peak right now holding their last 2 opponents to less than 300 total yards and holding opponents to just 3.5 YPC on the season. On offense Nebraska is clicking as well averaging 526 YPG since their loss to Illinois to start the season. QB Martinez brings a dual threat that Michigan has not seen yet this season. He’s also throwing the ball as well as he ever has completing 71% of his passes over the last 5 games while rushing for nearly 400 yards as well. Scott Frost has had Michigan in the back of his mind since losing his Big 10 opening game as the Huskers head coach 56-10 @ Ann Arbor. This is a huge game for Nebraska right now and our power ratings have them as a home favorite (Wisconsin was -2 at home vs Michigan last week) and they catch the Wolves on the road for the 2nd straight week. The Huskers win this one outright so we take the points.