CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK 10*
(NCAAF) Colorado State vs. Utah State, 10/22/2021 9:30 PM, Score: 24 - 26
Total: 58.00 | 100.00 Over
Result: Loss
ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 58 Points - Colorado State at Utah State, Friday 10:30 PM ET - The first statistics that jumped out to us in this matchup is the pace of play numbers. These two teams rank in the top 15 in terms of plays run per minute and both average over 76 plays run per game. That obviously favors a higher scoring game with more possessions for each offense. Colorado State has some impressive defensive numbers but when you factor in the offenses faced, the numbers become less impressive. CSU is 9th in total yards allowed per game, 21st in passing yards given up and 16th in rushing yards allowed BUT they’ve faced six teams that rank 107th or worse in total offense and another team Toledo who ranks 74th. But on the flip side, the Rams offense is much better than their season numbers would indicate as they’ve faced some of the nation’s best defenses. San Jose State, Iowa, Toledo and San Diego State all rank 47th or better in total defense, three of those teams are top 25 in yards allowed per game. Utah State is more than capable offensively with a unit that averages over 484YPG (11th) is 15th in passing and 59th in rushing YPG. The Aggies numbers aren’t misleading either as they’ve faced some solid defenses in BYU, Boise State and Washington State who all rank 60th to 79th in total defense. Utah State is near the bottom of the nation defensively in yards per game allowed (108th), yards per play allowed (112th) and 85th in points allowed per game at 30.6PPG. We have lost value in this number from where it opened at, but the move hasn’t been enough according to the math. Bet Over.