#634 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Boise State pick-em over San Diego State, Tuesday at 9 PM ET - Love this spot for the host Broncos. They are coming off an OT road loss on Saturday @ San Jose State, a game the Broncos led by 12 with 8:00 remaining in the game. It was an understandable let down spot after Boise topped New Mexico at home last week in a big revenge game. Now they are back for their home finale facing the 1st place team in the MWC, San Diego State. We’re getting some line value here because the Aztecs are 14-2 in conference play and Boise is 0-6-1 ATS their last 7 games. We’re now getting the Broncos where all they have to do is win at home which is now a go for us. The Aztecs have been playing with fire, so to speak, on the road as of late. SDSU is coming off a road win @ New Mexico making a 3 pointer as time expired to win 73-71. It was a game that the Lobos led by 10 at half while SDSU’s largest lead of the game was just 6. Their last 3 road games the Aztecs won by 2 v@ New Mexico, won by 2 @ Fresno (made FT’s with 6 seconds left to win) and won by 2 @ Utah State (USU missed shot with 4 seconds left to win the game). They also struggled to beat CSU in OT and Wyoming by 5 on the road. Those 2 teams are 5-11 and 3-13 respectively in conference play. Now the face a Boise team that is better than all of the teams listed above and it’s the Aztecs 2nd of back to back road games. The Broncos are nearly unbeatable at home in conference play BSU has been nearly unbeatable at home in Mountain West play winning 33 of their last 36 including a perfect 8-0 this season with 5 of those wins coming by double digits. This is a huge revenge spot for BSU on Senior Night in their home finale (4 seniors in their top 7). San Diego State gave the Broncos their worst loss of the season a few weeks ago 72-52 when the Aztecs shot over 50% from the field while BSU made only 2 of 18 three pointers. This is a huge game for Boise at home while SDSU locked up the conference title over the weekend by topping New Mexico. The worst they can do is tie for the title but would have to lose both of their final 2 games including at home vs last place Wyoming this weekend. Bigger game for the Broncos who are fighting for 2nd place as they are tied with Nevada. We’ll take the Broncos to win at home.