#901 ASA PLAY ON 8* Philadelphia Phillies -145 over Cincinnati Reds, Friday at 6:40 PM ET - Action on pitchers. Yes, the Phillies have struggled early this season but we like the way this sets up for them. The expected starters - though we like this play even if the starters do not go - are Connor Overton and Taijuan Walker. Note that these pitchers just squared off and the Reds won that game but Walker had the better start though he had command issues. Both starters have struggled a bit early this season but Walker has allowed only 7 hits in 9 innings while Overton has allowed twice as many hits (14) in one less inning of work (8). Another key we like here is Overton has particularly struggled against lefties. The Phillies likely to have at least 4 left-handed bats in the lineup tonight. Then when you look at who their right-handed hitters are, the group includes some of their best, biggest, and most dangerous sticks. Guys like Bohm and Turner and Castellanos and Realmuto. Also another right-handed bat, Sosa has hit the Reds pitching very well this season. We feel that Overton will again struggle in this one while Walker's stuff will again prove tough to hit. In his 3rd start of the season Walker also should have better command in this one too. The Phillies lost to Lodolo and the Reds yesterday but entered that game having won 8 of last 10 games against Cincinnati. Also, Lodolo has been at the opposite end of the spectrum in comparison to how Overton is throwing. The Reds were 50-92 last season against NL opponents and they remain one of the worst teams in the league. Also, Cincinnati is just 2-6 this season against right-handed starters. The Reds have the slightly better record than the Phillies early this season but there is a reason this game is priced this way and it fact it opened up at an even higher price so we are happy to grab the extra value after the early market movement. Road rout for the Phillies with the edge in lineup, starting pitcher, and bullpen. The value is on the Phillies here ... even at a -145 price.