Situational Slam CBB 10*
(NCAAB) LSU vs. Syracuse, 11/28/2023 7:00 PM, Score: 57 - 80
Point Spread: -1.00 | -110.00 Syracuse (Home)
Result: Win
#612 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Syracuse pick-em over LSU, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - This line opened with LSU as a slight favorite and has moved to a pick-em as of this writing on Monday evening. We agree with the move. We actually have the Orange favored by 3 with our power ratings so still some solid value. This is LSU’s first true road game of the season and they’ve been poor in that spot to say the least. Last year they were 0-9 SU in true road games and dating back to the start of the 2021 season they are 2-17 SU in road games. The JMA Wireless Dome (we still call it the Carrier Dome) can be a tough place to shoot for opposing teams. The Tigers had a losing record a year ago at 14-19 and they were a poor shooting team a year ago making only 41% of their shots (337th nationally). While they’ve shot the ball better early this season, they need to prove they can do it on the road in a tough environment. The Tigers have a number of transfers (4 new starters) trying to mesh early in the season but their #1 transfer, Jalen Cook, has been ruled ineligible this season and won’t play. LSU has had a problem with turnovers coughing it up on 19% of their possession despite playing only 1 team ranked inside the top 200 in defensive turnover percentage. Here they face a Cuse team that has been great at forcing turnovers almost 22% of the time (top 40 nationally). Syracuse is 4-2 on the season and their 2 losses came vs top 10 teams (Tennessee & Gonzaga) in Hawaii. They are undefeated in their 3 homes games and averaging 84 PPG. The Cuse has been back from Hawaii for 6 days with a chance to regroup and refresh. LSU just 7-18 ATS their last 25 games and this will be a tough spot for them as they try to adapt to their new line up. Take Syracuse.