Ross Benjamin NBA 5* Golden Total
(NBA) Miami vs. Atlanta, 04/23/2021 7:30 PM, Score: 103 - 118
Total: 212.00 | -104.00 Under
Result: Loss
Miami @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET
Game# 567-568
Play On: Under 212.0 (5*)

These teams have met twice this season with both contests going under and there was just a combined 191.0 points scored per game. Both games were played at an extremely slow pace by NBA standards which is evidenced by a combined 159 field goal attempts per contest. The teams combined to go a miserable 41-141 (29.1%) on their 3-point shot attempts during those 2 meetings. I expect more of the same today.

The Heat are currently a 5.0-point favorite. Miami has played 7-0 to the under in their last 7 as a road favorite and with a total of 222.0 or less. Those 7 contests had an average total of 212.8 and there was a combined 192.3 points scored per game. Miami has held each of their previous 10 opponents to less than 100 points scored when they’ve been a road favorite. As a matter of fact, Miami has held 21 of their 64 opponents (32.8%) to less than 100 points this season which is a tremendous accomplishment by modern NBA standards. Furthermore, Miami has allowed less than 100 points in 13 of 34 away games (38.2%). Miami has also held opponents to 85 field goal attempts or less in 13 of their last 14 games which has enabled them to play a slower paced game which they prefer.

This is the lowest total of the season for Atlanta. Their previous low was 213.5 in a game at Charlotte just 12 days ago. Atlanta won that contest 105-101 and it comfortably stayed under the total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager.