Dolphins @ Patriots 4:25 PM ET
Game# 117-118
Play On: Dolphins +2.5 (5*)

I firmly believe there’s been too much emphasis on Tua being out for this huge AFC East battle with playoff implications. The Dolphins backup quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has started and played in some big games when a member of the Minnesota Vikings.
Miami is coming off a 26-20 loss to Green Bay in a game they were a 3.5-point home favorite. Conversely, New England was handed a 22-18 loss by Cincinnati and failed to cover as a 3.0-point home underdog. That dropped the Patriots season record to 7-8. NFL division road underdogs like Miami that are coming off a home favorite SU loss, versus an opponent like New England that has a losing record and is coming off a home underdog ATS loss, resulted in those road underdogs going a perfect 8-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The underdogs not only covered in all those contests, but they won each one outright and by an average of 7.2 points per game.

Give me the Dolphins plus the points.