RAVENS -6.5
(NFL) Commanders (WAS) vs. Ravens (BAL),
Point Spread: -6.50 | -115.00 Ravens (BAL) (Home)
Result: Win
Read my full betting preview here: https://winnersandwhiners.com/games/nfl/10-13-2024/washington-commanders-vs-baltimore-ravens-prediction-1029/

I bet against Washington last week, and while that wasn't a fruitful wager, the loss said more about Cleveland than it did the Commanders. Daniels completed just 56 percent of his passes and the offense had an early down success rate of 28 percent, which would be the worst mark in the NFL this year. The Browns may not be as talented defensively as they were a season ago but there were some concerning red flags from the Commanders' offense.

Let's not forget Washington has beaten up poor competition this season, as its four victories have come against teams with a combined 6-14 record. The Bengals, Cardinals and Browns rank 31st, 27th and 24th in points allowed per contest, but now the run-focused Commanders will face a Baltimore defense that's allowing just 60.4 rushing yards per game. With limited playmaking options in the passing game, can Daniels throw the Commanders to a road victory?

On the defensive side, Washington ranks 26th in defensive EPA against the run on early downs. That's a concern against Henry and Jackson. The Ravens will run the football at the Commanders' front, wearing them down and keeping the ball away from Daniels. Jackson should also have success through the air against Washington's bottom-five pass defense.

In Jackson's last ten home victories, Baltimore won by an average of 17.8 points per contest. The home team is building momentum after earning wins over Dallas, Buffalo and Cincinnati — bet on them to win with ease on Sunday afternoon!