Houston initially intrigued me as a potential underdog winner, but the Texans are too banged up to trust on the road. The visitors have injuries along the offensive line, including OT Laremy Tunsil, plus several key defenders are questionable, including linebackers Azeez Al-Shaair and Henry To’oto’o, defensive tackle Folorunso Fatukasi and defensive backs Kamari Lassiter and Jimmie Ward. DE Mario Edwards Jr. is out, as is top receiver Nico Collins, and RB Joe Mixon is nursing an ankle injury. That's a lot to digest, I know, but you get the picture...

Houston's offense ranks 31st in the league in early down success rate, ahead of just Cleveland, and the defense could be in trouble given all of the injuries. Packers QB Jordan Love is coming off his most complete performance of the season vs. Arizona, with only one turnover-worthy play over his last two games.

The spread looks right to me at -2.5.