This game could get ugly. Don't be surprised if this game feels over early, as the Irish should dominate on the ground (224.8 rushing yards per game on 6.3 yards per carry). They are second in EPA per rush, 22nd in rushing success rate, and first in rushing explosiveness. IU's run defense is statistically elite, but it lacks the defensive playmakers to keep the Irish from running wild. Defensively, Notre Dame ranks 8th in success rate allowed and 5th in points per drive and has been excellent in the red zone (10th in opponent red zone scoring percentage).

Notre Dame should win comfortably tonight at home. Bet the Fighting Irish to cover the 6.5-point spread!