PREMIUM
AAA's SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH (UNLOAD w/ CONFIDENCE!)
(MLB) NY Mets vs. Milwaukee,
Money Line: -107.00 Milwaukee (Home)
Result: Loss
Money Line: -107.00 Milwaukee (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH on the Milwaukee Brewers.
We think the value is simply too good to turn down here as we look for veteran Bartolo Colon to continue his downward spiral and expect Jimmy Nelson to take full advantage. Colon (4-3, 3.27 ERA) gave up two runs off five hits over five innings in a no-decision vs. the Marlins on Saturday. Colon's numbers are still decent, but the reason behind his success in recent years has been his K/BB ratio. Last year he'd post a career best 5.67 K/BB, but this season that's dropped to 3.54. And over his last four starts he has just a 1.11 K/BB ratio. Colon is headed for disaster in our opinion, the fewer K's and more walks is going to finally catch up to him tonight. Nelson (5-4, 3.43) comes in of his worst outing of the year, getting blasted for six runs off seven hits, walking three and striking out just one over four innings in a 6-3 loss to the Phillies on Friday. The sub-par outing would break a string of four consecutive quality starts. There's no reason not to think that Nelson won't bounce back though, he's thrown a quality start in eight of his 11 outings this season. He also has to be feeling pretty confident in this spot as he's 4-2 with a highly respectable 2.54 ERA in front of the home town crowd thus far. New York managed to gut out the victory late last night, but overall the team has been struggling with consistency at the plate. All things considered, this is indeed a great price, play on MILWAUKEE.
AAA Sports
We think the value is simply too good to turn down here as we look for veteran Bartolo Colon to continue his downward spiral and expect Jimmy Nelson to take full advantage. Colon (4-3, 3.27 ERA) gave up two runs off five hits over five innings in a no-decision vs. the Marlins on Saturday. Colon's numbers are still decent, but the reason behind his success in recent years has been his K/BB ratio. Last year he'd post a career best 5.67 K/BB, but this season that's dropped to 3.54. And over his last four starts he has just a 1.11 K/BB ratio. Colon is headed for disaster in our opinion, the fewer K's and more walks is going to finally catch up to him tonight. Nelson (5-4, 3.43) comes in of his worst outing of the year, getting blasted for six runs off seven hits, walking three and striking out just one over four innings in a 6-3 loss to the Phillies on Friday. The sub-par outing would break a string of four consecutive quality starts. There's no reason not to think that Nelson won't bounce back though, he's thrown a quality start in eight of his 11 outings this season. He also has to be feeling pretty confident in this spot as he's 4-2 with a highly respectable 2.54 ERA in front of the home town crowd thus far. New York managed to gut out the victory late last night, but overall the team has been struggling with consistency at the plate. All things considered, this is indeed a great price, play on MILWAUKEE.
AAA Sports
