AAA's 10* *Michigan/Ohio State* BLOCKBUSTER (INSANE +$16K BIG TICKET CFB RUN!)
(NCAAF) Michigan vs. Ohio State, 11/26/2016 7:00 AM, Score: 27 - 30
Point Spread: -6.00 | -110.00 Ohio State (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Ohio State.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Michigan is 5-8 ATS in its last 13 on the road (including just 1-2 ATS this year). It's also a poor 2-4 ATS in its last six as an underdog and just 3-5 ATS in its last eight against conference opponents. Note that it's also only 2-4 ATS in its last six off a win against a conference rival.

And note that Ohio State has excelled in this spot for bettors, going 4-2 ATS at home this year is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 when playing the role of favorite.

The bottom line: Obviously a huge rivalry game, but we simply can't see the home side taking a mis-step at this point. We look for OHIO STATE to do just enough to come away with the cover at the end of the afternoon.

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