NFL Sunday Night Blowout
(NFL) Green Bay vs. Buffalo, 10/30/2022 8:20 PM, Score: 17 - 27
Point Spread: -10.50 | -104.00 Buffalo (Home)
Result: Loss
#276 ASA PLAY ON 8* Buffalo Bills -10.5 over Green Bay Packers, Sunday at 8:15 PM ET - Green Bay is getting over 70% of the tickets in this game and we don’t see why. We are here in Wisconsin and follow the team very closely. We understand the “Rodgers has never been a double digit underdog” stuff but this is one of the worst teams he’s been a part of. He can’t do it by himself and with inexperience at the WR position and an injured and struggling offensive line, we just don’t see how they stay in this game. Buffalo is easily the best team in the NFL so far this season with a YPP differential of +2.0 which is tops in the NFL. The next best YPP differential in the league is below +1.0 which gives you an idea of how far ahead they are. On top of that, they are coming off a bye week. In their 2 home games this season, the Bills have outscored the Titans and Steelers 79-10 and they outgained those 2 teams by a whopping +4.0 YPP! Can Green Bay’s offense keep up in this game? We don’t think so. In their 3 game losing streak vs the Giants, Jets, and Commanders, they were outgained by a full 1.0 YPP and averaged only 4.5 YPP on offense. Now facing a Buffalo defense that ranks #1 in total defense and rush defense, GB is in trouble. Defensively the Packers allowed 27, 27, and 23 points the last 3 weeks vs Daniel Jones, Zach Wilson, and Taylor Heinicke and now they face a rested Josh Allen. If the Packers were going to “flip the switch” so to speak it would have been vs one of those 3 teams, not @ Buffalo. This team is what it is. Just not very good and we think Buffalo wins big.